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US Election 2024
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A hypothetical posed about some distant future
Inconvenient Sequel, 2017
„The next generation, looking back at us“.
The framing is consistently that of „citizens in a democracy“ asked to take joint responsibility to prevent hypothetical (though likely) catastrophe occuring in some distant future.
What was I thinking in 2017? I was thinking Rex Tillerson and I likely had different abilities to impact actions taken by ExxonMobil. At a Dianne Feinstein town hall I was thinking the Indivisible audience of outraged voters was quite divisible, as evidenced by my personal experience querying a few fellow audience members on the advisability of continuing to vote for Democratic Party incumbents. I was thinking Feinstein was visibly suffering from dementia and should not continue serving as a US senator. I was thinking I would be glad to be leaving San Francisco’s world of delusion.
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In which I become a NATO propagandist
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An Inconvenient Truth
From the 2017 An Inconvenient Sequel. In 2023 one wonders how Al Gore feels the „fixing the democracy crisis“ endeavor is going. 🤔
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Keine Lust auf Nachrichten
Zuerst die gute Nachricht: Das Interesse der Deutschen an Politik ist ungebrochen. Es steigt sogar. Laut Statistischem Bundesamt sind heute rund 40 Prozent der Deutschen an Politik interessiert. Das ist viel mehr als früher, 1980 galt das in Westdeutschland für weniger als dreißig Prozent, so wenige waren es 1990 auch in Ostdeutschland. Wie schön, könnte man sagen, schließlich ist mit einem uninteressierten Publikum kein Staat zu machen, zumindest nicht in einer Demokratie. Die Sorge hatte immer gelautet, dass die Deutschen sich eines Tages gelangweilt abwenden würden von politischen Fragen.
…
Jetzt also die schlechte Nachricht: Die vorbildlich interessierten Deutschen sind immer weniger bereit, sich über Politik zu informieren. Das hat auf den ersten Blick wenig Sinn, weil jemand, der sich für Fußball interessiert, normalerweise jemand ist, der viele Fußballspiele schaut. Aus Interesse entstehen so Kenntnisse. In der Politik gilt das nicht mehr. Dort artikulieren Bürger engagiert ihre Meinung, ohne sich gleichzeitig für politische Nachrichten oder Analysen zu interessieren. Kulturpessimisten haben also einen neuen Albtraum: Schlimmer noch als jemand, der sich der Debatte verweigert, ist jemand, der an ihr teilnimmt, ohne zu wissen, wovon er spricht.
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Temporal heterogeneity
The historians‘ „eventful“ conception of temporality certainly posits that different historical times have, effectively, different rates of change—that history may be „accelerated“ by events. But it also posits that events transform or reconfigure social relations. The consequence is that they see distinct historical eras as having varying forms of life and different social dynamics. Historians, to put it differently, assume that time is heterogeneous. We assume that what entities exist in the social world, how they operate, and what they mean change fundamentally over time. This is not to say that the world is in constant flux and chaos; the social temporality posited by historians is always a mix of continuity and change. But our working assumption is that every important form of social relations is potentially subject to change: not only ideas, institutions, and identities, but tools, forms of shelter, sex, gods, climate, diseases, cultivated plants, and languages. Another way of putting this is to say that historians implicitly assume that social life is fundamentally constituted by culture, but by culture in the widest possible sense—that is, by humanly constructed practices, conventions, and beliefs that shape all aspects of social life, from agriculture and procreation to poetry and religion. We assume that because these practices are humanly constructed, humans are also capable of destroying, altering, neglecting, forgetting, or radically reconstructing them, either purposely or unintentionally.
Temporal heterogeneity implies causal heterogeneity. It implies that the consequences of a given act are not intrinsic in the act but rather will depend on the nature of the social world within which it takes place. This assumption is quite contrary to the practices of mainstream social scientists, whose entire mode of operation is to discover and apply general causal laws, laws implicitly or explicitly assumed to be independent of time and place. The model case would be economists, who assume that all social actors everywhere are utility maximizers and that the laws of supply and demand are universal. Historians of course admit the existence of causal regularities of considerable duration. But rather than assuming that the world of the past must have been governed by the same logics as the world of the present, historians assume that the social logics governing past social worlds varied fundamentally, and therefore that their logics must be discovered and puzzled out by the researcher.
Temporal heterogeneity also implies that understanding or explaining social practices requires historical contextualization. We cannot know what an act or an utterance means and what its consequences might be without knowing the semantics, the technologies, the conventions—in brief, the logics— that characterize the world in which the action takes place. Historians tend to explain things not by subsuming them under a general or „covering“ law, but by relating them to their context.
Finally, if the world in which actions take place is temporally heterogeneous, it makes sense for historians to insist on the importance of chronology, Indeed, chronology—the precise placement of a happening or a fact in time— is important for two reasons. First, as I have already pointed out, historians insist that we cannot know why something happens or what its significance might be without knowing where it fits in a sequence of happenings. Meticulous attention to chronology is the only way to be sure that we have the sequence straight. But chronology is also important because the meaning of an action or an event depends on the temporal context in which it occurs. In order to understand the relation of one social fact to another, one needs to know whether the temporal boundaries of the social facts placed them within the same „historical era“—that is to say, within a period during which some particular historical logic obtained. Chronology is crucial because it tells us within what historical context we must place the actions, texts, or material artifacts we are attempting to interpret or explain.
The historian’s implicit theorization of social temporality— as fateful, contingent, complex, eventful, and heterogeneous—is, I hope to have indicated, reasonably coherent.
—William H. Sewell, Jr., Logics of History, (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 2005), 9-11.
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[H]istory and the social sciences crystalized out of a single field of discourse. It was only between the 1880s and World War I that sociology, history, political science, anthropology, geography, and economics emerged as the distinct and professionalized academic disciplines we know today. Prior to that time, intellectual discussion flowed easily across the indistinct boundaries between different genres of scholarship. It is difficult to assign major thinkers of this era to a single field, as we understand these fields today. Was Adam Smith or John Stuart Mill a philosopher, an economist, or a political scientist? Was Marx an economist, a sociologist, a philosopher, or a historian? Tocqueville a historian, a sociologist, an ethnographer, or a political scientist?
—William H. Sewell, Jr., Logics of History, (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 2005), 2.
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What did the White House Counsel know, and when did he know it?
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Joe Biden on Vladimir Putin losing the war in Iraq
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